The Toronto Maple Leafs are currently in the 10–20% band to make the 2026-27 NHL playoffs. Get the exact live probability, rooting guide, and push alerts when the race moves in the Clinch app.
See the exact number30,000 simulations after every final score; odds typically update within 5–10 minutes
Get a push alert when Maple Leafs playoff odds move by at least 2 percentage points.
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We'll email you the Clinch install link — one tap follows the Toronto Maple Leafs on your phone. Push alerts when their playoff odds move by at least 2 percentage points, plus tonight's rooting guide. Free.
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The Toronto Maple Leafs are 8-11-2 (18 pts) through 21 games this season. They sit 7th in the Atlantic Division, 10 points back of the leader. Most recently, they lost to the Minnesota Wild 5-2 at home on Nov 12. The Detroit Red Wings (7-10-3) and Buffalo Sabres (8-7-4) are the closest Atlantic Division comparisons. Losers of five straight with a 3-7-0 last 10. Next three: home against the Edmonton Oilers Nov 14, at the Chicago Blackhawks Nov 17, and home against the Los Angeles Kings Nov 19. Sergei Bobrovsky leads the crease with 13 starts, the team owns a .889 save percentage, and their team goals-against average is 3.24. Clinch tracks Maple Leafs playoff odds, division chances, and championship probability live.
Install the app to move from the search result to live odds, tonight's rooting guide, and push alerts when the race changes.
Across the last 3 recorded games, Maple Leafs went 0-3 and were outscored 5-15.
Maple Leafs have the smaller share of tracked expected goals in 2026-27. Their shot volume is 28.1 for and 29.3 against per game.
These are the next scheduled matchups currently attached to the Maple Leafs race.
The closest current divisional comparisons for Maple Leafs:
Center projection, recent movement, and mutually exclusive postseason outcomes.
For the live number driving all of the above: See playoff odds
The recent range shows how the center projection has changed across stored runs; it is not a fabricated best/worst win percentile. The outcome ladder is a true probability split and sums to 100% apart from rounding.
These are the closest teams in the same conference by current playoff odds. Tap any team for its race context; Clinch's app uses simulation-derived game impacts for tonight's actual rooting guide.
From: Edmonton Oilers shut out New York Islanders 4-0 in early playoff contrast - Nov 1, 2026 ->The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Vancouver Canucks 4-2. Toronto is 8-8 and in the 40–50% band, against Vancouver’s 3-13 record and 0–10% band. Toronto’s 93 projected points compare with Vancouver’s 70.
Because the value is not just a single playoff percentage. Clinch keeps the race live with nightly rooting context, after-game updates, and alerts when another team changes the picture for Maple Leafs.
Landed here from a search? These next stops usually help Maple Leafs fans get the full picture.
Clinch updates the Maple Leafs' playoff odds after every game using 30,000 Monte Carlo simulations. The percentage on this page reflects how often the Maple Leafs reach the postseason across those simulated seasons.
Clinch refreshes team odds within minutes of every completed game. That includes changes to playoff probability, title chances, and the other games around the league that help or hurt the Maple Leafs.
The Toronto Maple Leafs need some combination of their own wins and helpful results elsewhere in the standings. Clinch turns that into a live answer by tracking playoff odds, nightly rooting guides, and which rival results help or hurt most.
Follow the Maple Leafs for live playoff odds, division and championship probabilities, nightly rooting guides, game impact analysis, and push alerts when the race changes. One team in every sport is free on iPhone and Android.
The Toronto Maple Leafs are currently being tracked live for the 2026-27 season, and Clinch will archive the final result here when the season ends.