Toronto Maple Leafs conference finals odds

Atlantic Division
Updated
010%
0% 100%
Long shot Conference Finals Probability

The Toronto Maple Leafs are currently in the 0–10% band to reach the Eastern Conference Finals during the 2026-27 NHL season. Get the exact live probability and round-by-round path in Clinch.

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30,000 Monte Carlo simulations · Updates every 5–10 min

30,000 simulations after every final score; odds typically update within 5–10 minutes

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Toronto Maple Leafs conference finals odds

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 8-8-2 (18 pts) through 18 games this season. They sit 7th in the Atlantic Division, 7 points back of the leader. Most recently, they lost to the Montréal Canadiens 4-2 at home on Nov 7. The Buffalo Sabres (8-5-3) and Detroit Red Wings (7-8-3) are the closest Atlantic Division comparisons. Losers of two straight with a 5-5-0 last 10. Next three: home against the New Jersey Devils Nov 8, home against the Colorado Avalanche Nov 10, and home against the Minnesota Wild Nov 12. Sergei Bobrovsky leads the crease with 12 starts, the team owns a .894 save percentage, and their team goals-against average is 3.11. Clinch's live model updates the Toronto Maple Leafs conference-finals chances after every game.

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Live race snapshotMaple Leafs
Record8-8-2 (18 pts)
StreakL2
Last 105-5-0
Atlantic7th · 7 GB
Goal diff+4
Home · Away4-5-1 · 4-3-1
Playoff odds30–40%
Win division0–10%
Win Stanley Cup0–10%

Toronto Maple Leafs postseason path

How often the model carries this team through each successive checkpoint.

Make playoffs30–40%
Reach second round10–20%
Reach conference finals0–10%
Reach Stanley Cup Final0–10%
Win Stanley Cup0–10%

Opponent rows are independent reach-the-final probabilities, not head-to-head matchup odds. Actual pairings depend on both sides of the bracket.

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