Contenders

Carolina Hurricanes
14-3-2 · 30 ptsW21st Metropolitan
90–100%
Minnesota Wild
13-3-4 · 30 ptsW11st Central
90–100%
Tampa Bay Lightning
12-4-2 · 26 ptsW11 GB · Atlantic
90–100%
Edmonton Oilers
14-3-3 · 31 ptsW31st Pacific
90–100%
Vegas Golden Knights
13-5-2 · 28 ptsW43 GB · Pacific
90–100%
Boston Bruins
13-4-1 · 27 ptsW41st Atlantic
90–100%
Colorado Avalanche
11-6-2 · 24 ptsW26 GB · Central
90–100%
Dallas Stars
10-5-2 · 22 ptsW18 GB · Central
80–90%
New Jersey Devils
13-6-0 · 26 ptsL14 GB · Metropolitan
70–80%

Bubble Teams

Washington Capitals
10-6-0 · 20 ptsW210 GB · Metropolitan
60–70%
Montréal Canadiens
11-3-4 · 26 ptsOT11 GB · Atlantic
60–70%
Nashville Predators
10-4-5 · 25 ptsW65 GB · Central
60–70%
New York Rangers
11-8-1 · 23 ptsW17 GB · Metropolitan
60–70%
Ottawa Senators
11-6-2 · 24 ptsOT13 GB · Atlantic
50–60%
Utah Mammoth
10-8-1 · 21 ptsL29 GB · Central
50–60%
Florida Panthers
10-7-2 · 22 ptsW15 GB · Atlantic
40–50%
Seattle Kraken
9-6-1 · 19 ptsL112 GB · Pacific
40–50%
St. Louis Blues
8-8-2 · 18 ptsW112 GB · Central
40–50%
New York Islanders
7-6-4 · 18 ptsOT212 GB · Metropolitan
40–50%
Anaheim Ducks
10-8-1 · 21 ptsL110 GB · Pacific
30–40%
Los Angeles Kings
5-9-2 · 12 ptsL219 GB · Pacific
30–40%
Winnipeg Jets
8-8-3 · 19 ptsW411 GB · Central
30–40%
Buffalo Sabres
8-7-3 · 19 ptsL28 GB · Atlantic
20–30%
Calgary Flames
8-10-1 · 17 ptsL114 GB · Pacific
20–30%
Toronto Maple Leafs
8-10-2 · 18 ptsL49 GB · Atlantic
20–30%
Columbus Blue Jackets
7-9-0 · 14 ptsL216 GB · Metropolitan
20–30%

Longshots

Detroit Red Wings
7-9-3 · 17 ptsL410 GB · Atlantic
10–20%
Pittsburgh Penguins
7-10-2 · 16 ptsW114 GB · Metropolitan
0–10%
Philadelphia Flyers
5-10-6 · 16 ptsOT114 GB · Metropolitan
0–10%
San Jose Sharks
8-11-2 · 18 ptsOT113 GB · Pacific
0–10%
Chicago Blackhawks
4-13-1 · 9 ptsL421 GB · Central
0–10%
Vancouver Canucks
3-16-1 · 7 ptsL624 GB · Pacific
0–10%
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Washington Capitals

Leaning in · 10-6-0

Montréal Canadiens

Leaning in · 11-3-4

Nashville Predators

Leaning in · 10-4-5

New York Rangers

Leaning in · 11-8-1

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Latest NHL Articles

Nov 9, 2026 Carolina Hurricanes’ 14-5 start leads an unsettled early NHL playoff race Nov 9, 2026 Seattle Kraken’s 92-point pace leaves little room in a crowded playoff race Nov 5, 2026 Toronto Maple Leafs’ 92-point projection leaves little room in a crowded race Nov 3, 2026 Pittsburgh Penguins’ 85-point projection leaves little room after a 5-9 start Nov 1, 2026 Edmonton Oilers shut out New York Islanders 4-0 in early playoff contrast Oct 31, 2026 Calgary Flames’ 6-2 win over Seattle lifts the mood, not the playoff floor Oct 29, 2026 Carolina Hurricanes lead the East, but Washington’s 7-4 start has not secured a playoff cushion Oct 27, 2026 Vegas Golden Knights project for 100 points, but the West is already crowded Oct 25, 2026 Carolina Hurricanes’ 4-0 shutout leaves St. Louis with an early climb Oct 25, 2026 Columbus Blue Jackets’ overtime win ends a power-play drought, not the playoff climb View all articles →

Frequently Asked Questions

How are NHL playoff odds calculated?

Clinch runs 30,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining NHL season. Each simulation plays out every remaining game using team strength ratings, schedule difficulty, and home advantage. The playoff odds are the share of simulated seasons in which a team qualifies.

How often are NHL playoff odds updated?

30,000 simulations run after every final score. Odds typically update within 5-10 minutes. A scheduled daily run also catches overnight stat corrections and data refreshes.

What is a Monte Carlo simulation?

A Monte Carlo simulation is a statistical technique that uses randomness to model uncertain outcomes. By simulating the rest of the season thousands of times with realistic game-by-game variance, we can estimate the probability of each possible outcome — including which teams make the playoffs, win their division, or win the Stanley Cup.

How many teams make the NHL playoffs?

16 teams make the NHL playoffs — the top 3 in each division plus 2 wild cards per conference.

What factors affect a team's playoff odds?

The main factors are points percentage, goal differential, regulation wins, remaining schedule strength, standings and tiebreakers, and games remaining. Early-season odds are more volatile because more of the schedule remains.

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