The Tampa Bay Lightning are currently in the 80–90% band to make the 2026-27 NHL playoffs. Get the exact live probability, rooting guide, and push alerts when the race moves in the Clinch app.
See the exact number30,000 simulations after every final score; odds typically update within 5–10 minutes
Get a push alert when Lightning playoff odds move by at least 2 percentage points.
Text or copy the link to yourself — installs directly to the App Store or Google Play with Lightning ready to follow.
The Tampa Bay Lightning are 7-3-1 (15 pts) through 11 games this season. They sit 6th in the Atlantic Division, 4 points back of the leader. Most recently, they lost to the Utah Mammoth 5-4 on the road on Oct 24. The Toronto Maple Leafs (7-5-2) and Florida Panthers (7-4-2) are the closest Atlantic Division comparisons. They're 7-2-1 in their last 10. Next three: home against the Winnipeg Jets Oct 29, at the Nashville Predators Oct 31, and home against the Detroit Red Wings Nov 3. Andrei Vasilevskiy leads the crease with 8 starts, the team owns a .884 save percentage, and their team goals-against average is 2.82. Lightning sit in the band; the Clinch app carries the exact figure and alerts on race-moving results. Their number has trended up this week.
Install the app to move from the search result to live odds, tonight's rooting guide, and push alerts when the race changes.
Across the last 3 recorded games, Lightning went 1-2 and matched opponents 13-13.
The model currently makes the Tampa Bay Lightning more likely than not to reach the postseason.
“Yes” and “not favored” describe the current model balance, not a clinch or elimination declaration. The percentage remains the source of truth.
Daily closing probability from Clinch model snapshots.
This chart shows model movement over time, not a betting-market price. Each point is the latest stored simulation snapshot for that date.
These are the closest teams in the same conference by current playoff odds. Tap any team for its race context; Clinch's app uses simulation-derived game impacts for tonight's actual rooting guide.