The Tampa Bay Lightning are currently in the 80–90% band to make the 2026-27 NHL playoffs. Get the exact live probability, rooting guide, and push alerts when the race moves in the Clinch app.
See the exact number30,000 simulations after every final score; odds typically update within 5–10 minutes
Get a push alert when Lightning playoff odds move by at least 2 percentage points.
Text or copy the link to yourself — installs directly to the App Store or Google Play with Lightning ready to follow.
The Tampa Bay Lightning are 7-3-1 (15 pts) through 11 games this season. They sit 6th in the Atlantic Division, 4 points back of the leader. Most recently, they lost to the Utah Mammoth 5-4 on the road on Oct 24. The Toronto Maple Leafs (7-5-2) and Florida Panthers (7-4-2) are the closest Atlantic Division comparisons. They're 7-2-1 in their last 10. Next three: home against the Winnipeg Jets Oct 29, at the Nashville Predators Oct 31, and home against the Detroit Red Wings Nov 3. Andrei Vasilevskiy leads the crease with 8 starts, the team owns a .884 save percentage, and their team goals-against average is 2.82. Clinch ranks tonight's slate by how much each result moves the Lightning probability, live.
Install the app to get pushed the second another result moves your race, plus the weekly recap showing how the week's swing games actually played out.
These are the next scheduled matchups currently attached to the Lightning race.
Which results across the league move the Lightning playoff race. Tonight's slate has real swing in it — see how the model reads each result below.
SEA regulation win helps slightly
Minimal impact
Minimal impact
Minimal impact
Zoom out from tonight: See what they need
These are direct what-if simulations from a rooting run matched to the latest headline odds, not teams chosen merely because their standings percentages are nearby.