The Toronto Maple Leafs are currently in the 40–50% band to make the 2026-27 NHL playoffs. Get the exact live probability, rooting guide, and push alerts when the race moves in the Clinch app.
See the exact number30,000 simulations after every final score; odds typically update within 5–10 minutes
Get a push alert when Maple Leafs playoff odds move by at least 2 percentage points.
Text or copy the link to yourself — installs directly to the App Store or Google Play with Maple Leafs ready to follow.
The Toronto Maple Leafs are 7-5-2 (16 pts) through 14 games this season. They sit 5th in the Atlantic Division, 3 points back of the leader. Most recently, they lost to the Calgary Flames 5-2 on the road on Oct 26. The Florida Panthers (7-4-2) and Ottawa Senators (8-5-0) are the closest Atlantic Division comparisons. Coming off a loss with a 5-3-2 last 10. Next three: at the Seattle Kraken Oct 28, at the Vancouver Canucks Oct 31, and home against the Utah Mammoth Nov 3. Sergei Bobrovsky leads the crease with 9 starts, the team owns a .900 save percentage, and their team goals-against average is 3.00. Clinch ranks tonight's slate by how much each result moves the Maple Leafs probability, live.
Install the app to get pushed the second another result moves your race, plus the weekly recap showing how the week's swing games actually played out.
These are the next scheduled matchups currently attached to the Maple Leafs race.
Which results across the league move the Maple Leafs playoff race. Tonight's slate has real swing in it — see how the model reads each result below.
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Zoom out from tonight: See what they need
These are direct what-if simulations from a rooting run matched to the latest headline odds, not teams chosen merely because their standings percentages are nearby.