The Toronto Maple Leafs are currently in the 40–50% band to make the 2026-27 NHL playoffs. Get the exact live probability, rooting guide, and push alerts when the race moves in the Clinch app.
See the exact number30,000 simulations after every final score; odds typically update within 5–10 minutes
Get a push alert when Maple Leafs playoff odds move by at least 2 percentage points.
Text or copy the link to yourself — installs directly to the App Store or Google Play with Maple Leafs ready to follow.
The Toronto Maple Leafs are 7-5-2 (16 pts) through 14 games this season. They sit 5th in the Atlantic Division, 3 points back of the leader. Most recently, they lost to the Calgary Flames 5-2 on the road on Oct 26. The Florida Panthers (7-4-2) and Ottawa Senators (8-5-0) are the closest Atlantic Division comparisons. Coming off a loss with a 5-3-2 last 10. Next three: at the Seattle Kraken Oct 28, at the Vancouver Canucks Oct 31, and home against the Utah Mammoth Nov 3. Sergei Bobrovsky leads the crease with 9 starts, the team owns a .900 save percentage, and their team goals-against average is 3.00. Maple Leafs sit in the band; the Clinch app carries the exact figure and alerts on race-moving results. Their number has trended down this week.
Install the app to move from the search result to live odds, tonight's rooting guide, and push alerts when the race changes.
Across the last 3 recorded games, Maple Leafs went 2-1 and outscored opponents 14-11.
The Toronto Maple Leafs are in the part of the race where a short run of results can materially change the answer.
“Yes” and “not favored” describe the current model balance, not a clinch or elimination declaration. The percentage remains the source of truth.
Daily closing probability from Clinch model snapshots.
This chart shows model movement over time, not a betting-market price. Each point is the latest stored simulation snapshot for that date.
These are the closest teams in the same conference by current playoff odds. Tap any team for its race context; Clinch's app uses simulation-derived game impacts for tonight's actual rooting guide.