The Toronto Maple Leafs are currently in the 40–50% band to make the 2026-27 NHL playoffs. Get the exact live probability, rooting guide, and push alerts when the race moves in the Clinch app.
See the exact number30,000 simulations after every final score; odds typically update within 5–10 minutes
Get a push alert when Maple Leafs playoff odds move by at least 2 percentage points.
Text or copy the link to yourself — installs directly to the App Store or Google Play with Maple Leafs ready to follow.
The Toronto Maple Leafs are 7-5-2 (16 pts) through 14 games this season. They sit 5th in the Atlantic Division, 3 points back of the leader. Most recently, they lost to the Calgary Flames 5-2 on the road on Oct 26. The Florida Panthers (7-4-2) and Ottawa Senators (8-5-0) are the closest Atlantic Division comparisons. Coming off a loss with a 5-3-2 last 10. Next three: at the Seattle Kraken Oct 28, at the Vancouver Canucks Oct 31, and home against the Utah Mammoth Nov 3. Sergei Bobrovsky leads the crease with 9 starts, the team owns a .900 save percentage, and their team goals-against average is 3.00. Clinch recalculates Maple Leafs' postseason path after every final and identifies which Atlantic Division and wider race results help. Their number has trended down this week.
Install the app to see the answer update after every game, including which rival results and swing games matter most.
These are the next scheduled matchups currently attached to the Maple Leafs race.
Maple Leafs playoff odds are trending up over the last week. Clinch Pro shows the full-season journey chart and pushes an alert when the race shifts.
The Clinch app pushes an alert the moment any of these games finishes so you don't have to check.
A concrete benchmark based on projected final totals across the conference.
Reaching roughly 95 points would put Maple Leafs around the model's current final qualifying position. The actual clinching requirement can move with rival results and tiebreakers.
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This is a projected race benchmark, not an official magic number. Clinching rules, head-to-head results, and the remaining schedule can move the final line.