What do the Ottawa Senators need to make the playoffs?

Atlantic Division
Updated
4050%
0% 100%
On the bubble Playoff Probability

The Ottawa Senators are currently in the 40–50% band to make the 2026-27 NHL playoffs. Get the exact live probability, rooting guide, and push alerts when the race moves in the Clinch app.

See the exact number

30,000 Monte Carlo simulations · Updates every 5–10 min

Bubble Team

30,000 simulations after every final score; odds typically update within 5–10 minutes

Get a push alert when Senators playoff odds move by at least 2 percentage points.

How these odds are calculated

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What do the Ottawa Senators need to make the playoffs?

The Ottawa Senators are 8-5-0 (16 pts) through 13 games this season. They sit 3rd in the Atlantic Division, 3 points back of the leader. Most recently, they lost to the Vegas Golden Knights 4-1 on the road on Oct 28. The Florida Panthers (7-4-2) and Montréal Canadiens (7-3-2) are the closest Atlantic Division comparisons. Coming off a loss with a 6-4-0 last 10. Next three: at the Los Angeles Kings Oct 29, at the San Jose Sharks Oct 31, and at the Anaheim Ducks Nov 1. Linus Ullmark leads the crease with 8 starts, the team owns a .903 save percentage, and their team goals-against average is 2.50. Clinch recalculates Senators' postseason path after every final and identifies which Atlantic Division and wider race results help.

Install the app to see the answer update after every game, including which rival results and swing games matter most.

Ottawa Senators race dossier

Recent results and the next puck drops

Next on the ice

These are the next scheduled matchups currently attached to the Senators race.

  • Oct 29visits Los Angeles Kings
  • Oct 31visits San Jose Sharks
  • Nov 1visits Anaheim Ducks
Live race snapshotSenators
Record8-5-0 (16 pts)
StreakL1
Last 106-4-0
Atlantic3rd · 3 GB
Goal diff+1
Home · Away5-2-0 · 3-3-0
Playoff odds40–50%
Win division0–10%
Win Stanley Cup0–10%
7-day momentum NHL · Senators
Senators playoff odds — last 8 daily snapshots Trend line showing daily model-projected playoff probability. Exact numbers available in the Clinch app.
Sparkline of Senators daily playoff probability over the last 8 days.
Last 8 days−10 pts
7-day range50–80%

Senators playoff odds are trending down over the last week. Clinch Pro shows the full-season journey chart and pushes an alert when the race shifts.

Tonight's rooting board

Root for these results to help the Senators

1 game
  1. TOR at SEA
    SEA regulation win
    If it happens small bump
    TOR loss (reg) → +0.2%

The Clinch app pushes an alert the moment any of these games finishes so you don't have to check.

The model-implied playoff line

A concrete benchmark based on projected final totals across the conference.

Projected cut line95 pointsPosition 8
Senators projection94 points-1.0 vs line
Current total16 points71 games left
To reach projected line79 points56% of available points
What this means

Reaching roughly 95 points would put Senators around the model's current final qualifying position. The actual clinching requirement can move with rival results and tiebreakers.

Want the full picture? See games that matter tonight

This is a projected race benchmark, not an official magic number. Clinching rules, head-to-head results, and the remaining schedule can move the final line.

Keep going from here

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