The Ottawa Senators are currently in the 0–10% band to win the Atlantic Division during the 2026-27 NHL season. Get the exact live division probability and full race context in Clinch.
See the exact numberOttawa Senators division odds
30,000 simulations after every final score; odds typically update within 5–10 minutes
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Ottawa Senators division odds
The Ottawa Senators are 11-6-1 (23 pts) through 18 games this season. They sit 4th in the Atlantic Division, 2 points back of the leader. Most recently, they beat the Utah Mammoth 4-2 at home on Nov 7. The Tampa Bay Lightning (11-3-2) and Montréal Canadiens (11-3-3) are the closest Atlantic Division comparisons. Winners of two straight with a 5-4-1 last 10. Next three: home against the Washington Capitals Nov 10, home against the Colorado Avalanche Nov 12, and at the Pittsburgh Penguins Nov 14. Linus Ullmark leads the crease with 8 starts, the team owns a .901 save percentage, and their team goals-against average is 2.67. Clinch models every remaining Atlantic Division game to publish the Senators live division-win probability.
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Atlantic watch
The closest current divisional comparisons for Senators:
- Tampa Bay Lightning11-3-2 · 3rd · 1 GB
- Montréal Canadiens11-3-3 · 2nd · division leader
- Boston Bruins12-4-1 · 1st · division leader
Atlantic Division model race
Every division competitor, ordered by its chance to finish first.
Division probability comes directly from the same 30,000-season simulation as the headline number. Projected totals are model averages, not guarantees.