Dallas Stars

Central Division
Updated
8090%
0% 100%
In good shape Playoff Probability

The Dallas Stars are currently in the 80–90% band to make the 2026-27 NHL playoffs. Get the exact live probability, rooting guide, and push alerts when the race moves in the Clinch app.

See the exact number

30,000 Monte Carlo simulations · Updates every 5–10 min

Strong Contender

30,000 simulations after every final score; odds typically update within 5–10 minutes

Get a push alert when Stars playoff odds move by at least 2 percentage points.

How these odds are calculated

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More ways fans search for the Dallas Stars

The Dallas Stars are 10-5-2 (22 pts) through 17 games this season. They sit 4th in the Central Division, 8 points back of the leader. Most recently, they beat the San Jose Sharks 4-3 at home on Nov 7. The Utah Mammoth (10-8-1) and Colorado Avalanche (11-6-2) are the closest Central Division comparisons. Coming off a win with a 7-2-1 last 10. Next three: home against the Winnipeg Jets Nov 12, home against the Buffalo Sabres Nov 14, and home against the Florida Panthers Nov 15. Jake Oettinger leads the crease with 13 starts, the team owns a .907 save percentage, and their team goals-against average is 2.12. Clinch tracks Stars playoff odds, division chances, and championship probability live.

Install the app to move from the search result to live odds, tonight's rooting guide, and push alerts when the race changes.

Dallas Stars race dossier

Recent results and the next puck drops

Last 3

Across the last 3 recorded games, Stars went 2-1 and outscored opponents 11-10.

  • W 4-3San Jose Sharks · home · Nov 7
  • L 1-2Columbus Blue Jackets · road · Nov 5
  • W 6-5Washington Capitals · road · Nov 3

Stars 2026-27 performance profile

Stars have the stronger share of tracked expected goals in 2026-27. Their shot volume is 26.1 for and 22.9 against per game.

  • 53.0%expected-goal share
  • 2.82goals per game
  • 2.29goals allowed per game
  • 27.5%power play

Next on the ice

These are the next scheduled matchups currently attached to the Stars race.

  • Nov 12hosts Winnipeg Jets
  • Nov 14hosts Buffalo Sabres
  • Nov 15hosts Florida Panthers

Central watch

The closest current divisional comparisons for Stars:

  • Utah Mammoth10-8-1 · 5th · 9 GB
  • Colorado Avalanche11-6-2 · 3rd · 6 GB
  • Nashville Predators10-4-5 · 2nd · 5 GB

Stars' modeled season range

Center projection, recent movement, and mutually exclusive postseason outcomes.

Current record10-5-2 · 22 pts
Projected points103
Recent projection range97–106Across up to 30 stored model updates
Average finish rank9.8
Miss postseason10–20%
Make postseason, miss Finals70–80%
Reach Finals, finish runner-up0–10%
Win Stanley Cup0–10%

For the live number driving all of the above: See playoff odds

The recent range shows how the center projection has changed across stored runs; it is not a fabricated best/worst win percentile. The outcome ladder is a true probability split and sums to 100% apart from rounding.

Playoff race around the Stars

These are the closest teams in the same conference by current playoff odds. Tap any team for its race context; Clinch's app uses simulation-derived game impacts for tonight's actual rooting guide.

Keep going from here

Latest Analysis

Analysis at publication · Nov 9, 2026

The Dallas Stars are 10-7 and also in the 80–90% range, with a 103-point projection. Colorado, by comparison, has a 90–100% band despite a 10-8 record, a reminder that the model’s season outlook is not simply a ranking of current records. These odds are meaningful as a snapshot, but early-season results can still shift the picture substantially.

From: Carolina Hurricanes’ 14-5 start leads an unsettled early NHL playoff race - Nov 9, 2026 ->

Why install instead of checking once and leaving?

Because the value is not just a single playoff percentage. Clinch keeps the race live with nightly rooting context, after-game updates, and alerts when another team changes the picture for Stars.

Stars odds after every final buzzer
A nightly Stars rooting guide
Central and Stanley Cup chances
Projected points and crease context
Per-game playoff impact
Race-moving push notifications

Keep exploring

Landed here from a search? These next stops usually help Stars fans get the full picture.

Questions fans ask about the Dallas Stars

Will the Dallas Stars make the playoffs?

Clinch updates the Stars' playoff odds after every game using 30,000 Monte Carlo simulations. The percentage on this page reflects how often the Stars reach the postseason across those simulated seasons.

How often do the Stars' playoff odds update?

Clinch refreshes team odds within minutes of every completed game. That includes changes to playoff probability, title chances, and the other games around the league that help or hurt the Stars.

What do the Dallas Stars need to make the playoffs?

The Dallas Stars need some combination of their own wins and helpful results elsewhere in the standings. Clinch turns that into a live answer by tracking playoff odds, nightly rooting guides, and which rival results help or hurt most.

What can I do in the Clinch app for the Stars?

Follow the Stars for live playoff odds, division and championship probabilities, nightly rooting guides, game impact analysis, and push alerts when the race changes. One team in every sport is free on iPhone and Android.

What happened in the last completed Stars season?

The Dallas Stars are currently being tracked live for the 2026-27 season, and Clinch will archive the final result here when the season ends.

Related Articles

Nov 9, 2026 Carolina Hurricanes’ 14-5 start leads an unsettled early NHL playoff race Nov 1, 2026 Edmonton Oilers shut out New York Islanders 4-0 in early playoff contrast Oct 21, 2026 Tampa Bay Lightning’s 6-2 win over Vegas adds early separation in the NHL race Oct 19, 2026 Utah Mammoth’s 6-3 start keeps them in the West race Oct 17, 2026 Carolina Hurricanes sit ahead of a crowded early NHL playoff race Nov 9, 2026 Seattle Kraken’s 92-point pace leaves little room in a crowded playoff race Nov 5, 2026 Toronto Maple Leafs’ 92-point projection leaves little room in a crowded race Nov 3, 2026 Pittsburgh Penguins’ 85-point projection leaves little room after a 5-9 start
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