What do the Dallas Stars need to make the playoffs?

Central Division
Updated
8090%
0% 100%
In good shape Playoff Probability

The Dallas Stars are currently in the 80–90% band to make the 2026-27 NHL playoffs. Get the exact live probability, rooting guide, and push alerts when the race moves in the Clinch app.

See the exact number

30,000 Monte Carlo simulations · Updates every 5–10 min

Strong Contender

30,000 simulations after every final score; odds typically update within 5–10 minutes

Get a push alert when Stars playoff odds move by at least 2 percentage points.

How these odds are calculated

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What do the Dallas Stars need to make the playoffs?

The Dallas Stars are 7-4-1 (15 pts) through 12 games this season. They sit 3rd in the Central Division, 5 points back of the leader. Most recently, they lost to the New Jersey Devils 5-1 at home on Oct 27. The Utah Mammoth (8-5-0) and Colorado Avalanche (6-5-1) are the closest Central Division comparisons. Coming off a loss with a 7-2-1 last 10. Next three: home against the Montréal Canadiens Oct 29, home against the Columbus Blue Jackets Oct 31, and at the Washington Capitals Nov 3. Jake Oettinger leads the crease with 9 starts, the team owns a .917 save percentage, and their team goals-against average is 1.83. Clinch recalculates Stars' postseason path after every final and identifies which Central Division and wider race results help. Their number has trended up this week.

Install the app to see the answer update after every game, including which rival results and swing games matter most.

Dallas Stars race dossier

Recent results and the next puck drops

Next on the ice

These are the next scheduled matchups currently attached to the Stars race.

  • Oct 29hosts Montréal Canadiens
  • Oct 31hosts Columbus Blue Jackets
  • Nov 3visits Washington Capitals
Live race snapshotStars
Record7-4-1 (15 pts)
StreakL1
Last 107-2-1
Central3rd · 5 GB
Goal diff+8
Home · Away4-3-0 · 3-1-1
Playoff odds80–90%
Win division20–30%
Win Stanley Cup0–10%
7-day momentum NHL · Stars
Stars playoff odds — last 8 daily snapshots Trend line showing daily model-projected playoff probability. Exact numbers available in the Clinch app.
Sparkline of Stars daily playoff probability over the last 8 days.
Last 8 days+10 pts
7-day range80–100%

Stars playoff odds are trending up over the last week. Clinch Pro shows the full-season journey chart and pushes an alert when the race shifts.

Tonight's rooting board

Root for these results to help the Stars

2 games
  1. NJD at COL
    NJD regulation win
    If it happens small bump
    COL loss (reg) → +0.2%
  2. TOR at SEA
    TOR regulation win
    If it happens small bump
    SEA loss (reg) → +0.2%

The Clinch app pushes an alert the moment any of these games finishes so you don't have to check.

The model-implied playoff line

A concrete benchmark based on projected final totals across the conference.

Projected cut line91 pointsPosition 8
Stars projection104 points+13.0 vs line
Current total15 points72 games left
To reach projected line76 points53% of available points
What this means

Reaching roughly 91 points would put Stars around the model's current final qualifying position. The actual clinching requirement can move with rival results and tiebreakers.

Want the full picture? See games that matter tonight

This is a projected race benchmark, not an official magic number. Clinching rules, head-to-head results, and the remaining schedule can move the final line.

Keep going from here

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