MLB Playoff Odds 2026 — Season Recap
· MLB · 30,000 Monte Carlo simulations
MLB is between seasons. Browse the completed 2026 baseball playoff race by team below.
Looking for a modern replacement for the FiveThirtyEight MLB playoff odds, Baseball Reference postseason odds, or Baseball Prospectus PECOTA? Clinch preserves the completed-season record between seasons, then returns to 30,000-simulation forecasts after regular-season games begin. See the full comparison →
MLB season archive + team tracking — free in the appGet ready for the next MLB season
Clinch publishes live playoff odds within minutes of every final score once the MLB season resumes. Browse the completed 2026 season by team now; when games return, this page becomes a live race tracker with 30,000 Monte Carlo simulations and nightly rooting guides.
Keep Your MLB Team Ready for the Next Race
Browse the completed-season baseline now, then follow current odds, rooting guides, and team movement when regular-season results begin.
- Last completed-season results by team
- Current projections when regular-season games begin
- One team in every sport is free on iPhone and Android
Get live MLB odds on your phone
Text or copy the link to yourself — installs directly to the App Store or Google Play, no account needed.
Start with the team you actually care about
See the last completed MLB season on each team page now, then switch straight into live odds, rooting guides, and push alerts when the new season starts.
Will Arizona Diamondbacks make the playoffs?
Right now the Arizona Diamondbacks page shows the final 2026 snapshot so fans still see how the season ended before live odds return.
What changes when games begin?
Team pages switch from the completed-season baseline to current projections once regular-season results make the new race meaningful.
Why open the app instead of just reading odds once?
Because the value is not just the percentage. It is knowing what changed, what happens next, and which other games you should care about before the race moves again.
Arizona Diamondbacks
Browse the last completed-season context now; live 2026 odds begin once regular-season results are available.
Atlanta Braves
Browse the last completed-season context now; live 2026 odds begin once regular-season results are available.
Baltimore Orioles
Browse the last completed-season context now; live 2026 odds begin once regular-season results are available.
Boston Red Sox
Browse the last completed-season context now; live 2026 odds begin once regular-season results are available.
Browse every MLB team now; current projections begin with regular-season results
All Teams by Division
MLB Playoff Race Analysis
Recent long-form coverage from the last completed MLB playoff race. Current-season analysis returns after regular-season games begin.
Sep 29, 2026 Milwaukee Brewers Finish 103-59 With a 6-4 Win Over St. Louis Cardinals Sep 27, 2026 Milwaukee and Los Angeles Pull Away While the Wild Card Lines Harden Sep 27, 2026 Dodgers Hold the Line, Rangers Stay Alive as the Final MLB Day Takes Shape Sep 27, 2026 Philadelphia’s Playoff Hold Is Real, But Houston Is Breathing Down Its Neck Sep 25, 2026 Milwaukee Ends Philadelphia’s Cushion, While Houston and Texas Keep Their Wild-Card Fight Alive Sep 25, 2026 Texas Rangers Are Hanging on at 29.9%, but Houston Still Holds the Hand on the Door Sep 23, 2026 Dodgers Blank Padres, but Houston's Shutout Win Keeps the Wild Card Fight Alive Sep 23, 2026 Texas Is Hanging On at 35.3% — and the Houston Race Is the Whole Season Sep 21, 2026 Milwaukee Keeps Rolling as Texas Falls Back Into the Bubble Sep 21, 2026 Houston Is Stuck in the Middle: 43.9% Is Real, but Not Safe View all articles →Frequently Asked Questions
How are MLB playoff odds calculated?
This page preserves the completed MLB season. Live 30,000-simulation playoff forecasts return after the next regular season begins.
How often are MLB playoff odds updated?
The completed-season archive remains stable between seasons. Live updates resume with the next regular season.
What is a Monte Carlo simulation?
A Monte Carlo simulation is a statistical technique that uses randomness to model uncertain outcomes. By simulating the rest of the season thousands of times with realistic game-by-game variance, we can estimate the probability of each possible outcome — including which teams make the playoffs, win their division, or win the World Series.
How many teams make the MLB playoffs?
12 teams make the MLB playoffs — 3 division winners and 3 wild card teams per league (American and National).
What factors affect a team's playoff odds?
The live race is paused between seasons. Completed-season records and outcomes remain available until the next regular season begins.
Follow the Next MLB Playoff Race
Use the completed-season baseline now, then follow live odds and game context once regular-season results begin.
- Follow MLB team pages and live odds in one app
- Push alerts when the race changes
- One team in every sport is free on iPhone and Android