Chicago Cubs
Central Division
Playoff Probability
Bubble Team
30,000 Monte Carlo simulations, updated within minutes of every game
Latest Analysis
From: Bubble Pressure Is Real in MLB, With CHC, SD and STL Fighting the Middle — Jun 25, 2026 →Chicago Cubs are the cleanest example of a true bubble team at 43-37 and 53.0%. They are above .500, but not by enough to breathe, and they need to keep turning close games into wins because the pack around them is still tight.
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Projected wins
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Game impact analysis
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