San Diego Padres
West Division
Playoff Probability
Bubble Team
30,000 Monte Carlo simulations, updated within minutes of every game
Latest Analysis
From: Cardinals Blank Padres as the Early NL Race Starts to Sort Itself Out — May 9, 2026 →The Cardinals are 23-15, and that record now backs up a 59.3% playoff path. San Diego is 22-16, but the shutout loss keeps the Padres in the same narrow band of uncertainty, with an 86-win projection and just 1.9% championship odds.
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Live playoff odds
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Projected wins
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