Baltimore Orioles
East Division
Playoff Probability
Outside Looking In
30,000 Monte Carlo simulations, updated within minutes of every game
Latest Analysis
From: BAL's Split, STL's Surge, and the Early MLB Race That Keeps Shifting — May 1, 2026 →The biggest swing came in Baltimore, where the Baltimore Orioles and Houston Astros split two games by a combined three runs, and the standings numbers still say both clubs have work to do. Baltimore sits at 15-16 with a 33.1% playoff chance, while Houston is 12-20 and only 10.8% to qualify after the one-sided swings on Thursday.
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