Houston Astros
West Division
Playoff Probability
Longshot
30,000 Monte Carlo simulations, updated within minutes of every game
Latest Analysis
From: LAD Stays Elite, while SEA and MIL Keep the Race Tight — May 15, 2026 →On the other side of the ledger, Seattle Mariners kept their path alive by beating Houston Astros 8-3. Seattle sits at 63.6% playoff odds and 84 projected wins; Houston is down at 5.3% and 71 projected wins, a brutal spot for a team that needs a long run just to get back into the conversation.
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Live playoff odds
Division & World Series odds
Projected wins
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Game impact analysis
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