Boston Red Sox
East Division
Playoff Probability
Outside Looking In
30,000 Monte Carlo simulations, updated within minutes of every game
Latest Analysis
From: NYY Stumbles, CHW Pops the Brakes, and the AL Bubble Keeps Shifting — Jun 19, 2026 →Toronto Blue Jays edged Boston Red Sox 4-3, and that was the kind of one-run result that can decide how a fringe team spends July. Toronto’s 37-38 record now comes with a 44.3% playoff chance, while Boston’s 29-43 mark leaves it at 3.7% — close enough to sting, not close enough to change the broader picture.
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