The Memphis Grizzlies are currently in the 40–50% band to make the 2026-27 NBA playoffs. Get the exact live probability, rooting guide, and push alerts when the race moves in the Clinch app.
See the exact number30,000 simulations after every final score; odds typically update within 5–10 minutes
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The Memphis Grizzlies are 7-4 through 11 games this season. Most recently, they lost to the Denver Nuggets 123-118 at home on Nov 11. The Dallas Mavericks (7-4) and Houston Rockets (9-3) are the closest Southwest Division comparisons. Coming off a loss with a 6-4 last 10. Next three: at the New Orleans Pelicans Nov 13, home against the Brooklyn Nets Nov 14, and at the Washington Wizards Nov 16. 2-4 at home, 5-0 on the road, and +66 point differential. Clinch tracks Grizzlies playoff odds, division chances, and championship probability live.
Install the app to move from the search result to live odds, tonight's rooting guide, and push alerts when the race changes.
Across the last 3 recorded games, Grizzlies went 1-2 and were outscored 333-353.
Grizzlies finished 2025-26 with a -6.0 scoring margin per game. They went 6-10 inside the division.
These are the next scheduled matchups currently attached to the Grizzlies race.
The closest current divisional comparisons for Grizzlies:
Center projection, recent movement, and mutually exclusive postseason outcomes.
For the live number driving all of the above: See playoff odds
The recent range shows how the center projection has changed across stored runs; it is not a fabricated best/worst win percentile. The outcome ladder is a true probability split and sums to 100% apart from rounding.
These are the closest teams in the same conference by current playoff odds. Tap any team for its race context; Clinch's app uses simulation-derived game impacts for tonight's actual rooting guide.
From: Golden State Warriors rout Denver Nuggets 134-114 in an early Western test - Oct 27, 2026 ->The Memphis Grizzlies stayed unbeaten with a 110-105 win over the Utah Jazz. Memphis is 4-0, in the 60–70% playoff band with 41 projected wins; Utah is 1-3, with no playoff band supplied.
Because the value is not just a single playoff percentage. Clinch keeps the race live with nightly rooting context, after-game updates, and alerts when another team changes the picture for Grizzlies.
Landed here from a search? These next stops usually help Grizzlies fans get the full picture.
Clinch updates the Grizzlies' playoff odds after every game using 30,000 Monte Carlo simulations. The percentage on this page reflects how often the Grizzlies reach the postseason across those simulated seasons.
Clinch refreshes team odds within minutes of every completed game. That includes changes to playoff probability, title chances, and the other games around the league that help or hurt the Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies need some combination of their own wins and helpful results elsewhere in the standings. Clinch turns that into a live answer by tracking playoff odds, nightly rooting guides, and which rival results help or hurt most.
Follow the Grizzlies for live playoff odds, division and championship probabilities, nightly rooting guides, game impact analysis, and push alerts when the race changes. One team in every sport is free on iPhone and Android.
The Memphis Grizzlies are currently being tracked live for the 2026-27 season, and Clinch will archive the final result here when the season ends.