Dallas Mavericks playoff odds

Southwest Division
Updated
4050%
0% 100%
On the bubble Playoff Probability

The Dallas Mavericks are currently in the 40–50% band to make the 2026-27 NBA playoffs. Get the exact live probability, rooting guide, and push alerts when the race moves in the Clinch app.

See the exact number

30,000 Monte Carlo simulations · Updates every 5–10 min

Bubble Team

30,000 simulations after every final score; odds typically update within 5–10 minutes

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Dallas Mavericks playoff odds

The Dallas Mavericks are 2-2 through 4 games this season. Most recently, they beat the Miami Heat 113-109 on the road on Oct 26. The San Antonio Spurs (2-2) and New Orleans Pelicans (0-3) are the closest Southwest Division comparisons. Coming off a win with a 2-2 last 10. Next three: home against the Oklahoma City Thunder Oct 28, home against the Houston Rockets Oct 30, and home against the Sacramento Kings Nov 2. 0-1 at home, 2-1 on the road, and -14 point differential. Mavericks sit in the 40–60% band; the Clinch app carries the exact figure and alerts on race-moving results.

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Dallas Mavericks race dossier

Recent results and the next tipoffs

Last 3

Across the last 3 recorded games, Mavericks went 2-1 and outscored opponents 340-336.

  • W 113-109Miami Heat · road · Oct 26
  • L 106-122San Antonio Spurs · home · Oct 24
  • W 121-105Indiana Pacers · road · Oct 23
Live race snapshotMavericks
Record2-2
StreakW1
Last 102-2
Point diff-14
Home · Away0-1 · 2-1
Playoff odds40–50%
Win division10–20%
Win NBA title0–10%
📱 In the Clinch app
  • Exact playoff odds for the Mavericks, refreshed within minutes of every final score
  • Push alerts when the race moves — you don't check, we tell you
  • The nightly rooting guide for every night of the NBA season
  • Follow more teams (one per sport free; unlimited with Pro)
  • Pro adds the full-season Playoff Odds Journey chart, AI Season Analysis, and every game with its exact impact on your team
Bubble race

Too close to call

The Dallas Mavericks are in the part of the race where a short run of results can materially change the answer.

40–50%chance to make playoffs
Make 40–50%Miss 50–60%

“Yes” and “not favored” describe the current model balance, not a clinch or elimination declaration. The percentage remains the source of truth.

Playoff odds movement

Daily closing probability from Clinch model snapshots.

Oct 28, 2026
Current40–50%
Last 7 updates+big swing
90-update change-small bump
Range40–50%
See the trend in the app
Oct 19, 2026Oct 28, 2026

This chart shows model movement over time, not a betting-market price. Each point is the latest stored simulation snapshot for that date.

Playoff race around the Mavericks

These are the closest teams in the same conference by current playoff odds. Tap any team for its race context; Clinch's app uses simulation-derived game impacts for tonight's actual rooting guide.

Keep going from here

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