Memphis Grizzlies playoff odds

Southwest Division
Updated
6070%
0% 100%
Leaning in Playoff Probability

The Memphis Grizzlies are currently in the 60–70% band to make the 2026-27 NBA playoffs. Get the exact live probability, rooting guide, and push alerts when the race moves in the Clinch app.

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30,000 Monte Carlo simulations · Updates every 5–10 min

Bubble Team

30,000 simulations after every final score; odds typically update within 5–10 minutes

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Memphis Grizzlies playoff odds

The Memphis Grizzlies are 4-0 through 4 games this season. Most recently, they beat the Utah Jazz 110-105 on the road on Oct 26. The Houston Rockets (4-0) and Dallas Mavericks (2-2) are the closest Southwest Division comparisons. Winners of four straight with a 4-0 last 10. Next three: at the Portland Trail Blazers Oct 29, home against the Sacramento Kings Oct 31, and home against the New Orleans Pelicans Nov 2. 1-0 at home, 3-0 on the road, and +39 point differential. Grizzlies sit in the 60–80% band; the Clinch app carries the exact figure and alerts on race-moving results. Their number has trended up this week.

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Memphis Grizzlies race dossier

Recent results and the next tipoffs

Last 3

Across the last 3 recorded games, Grizzlies went 3-0 and outscored opponents 344-325.

  • W 110-105Utah Jazz · road · Oct 26
  • W 123-112Sacramento Kings · road · Oct 25
  • W 111-108Golden State Warriors · road · Oct 23
Live race snapshotGrizzlies
Record4-0
StreakW4
Last 104-0
Point diff+39
Home · Away1-0 · 3-0
Playoff odds60–70%
Win division20–30%
Win NBA title0–10%
📱 In the Clinch app
  • Exact playoff odds for the Grizzlies, refreshed within minutes of every final score
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  • Pro adds the full-season Playoff Odds Journey chart, AI Season Analysis, and every game with its exact impact on your team
Bubble race

Too close to call

The Memphis Grizzlies are in the part of the race where a short run of results can materially change the answer.

60–70%chance to make playoffs
Make 60–70%Miss 30–40%

“Yes” and “not favored” describe the current model balance, not a clinch or elimination declaration. The percentage remains the source of truth.

Playoff odds movement

Daily closing probability from Clinch model snapshots.

Oct 28, 2026
Current60–70%
Last 7 updates+massive
90-update change+massive
Range40–70%
See the trend in the app
Oct 19, 2026Oct 28, 2026

This chart shows model movement over time, not a betting-market price. Each point is the latest stored simulation snapshot for that date.

Playoff race around the Grizzlies

These are the closest teams in the same conference by current playoff odds. Tap any team for its race context; Clinch's app uses simulation-derived game impacts for tonight's actual rooting guide.

Keep going from here

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