What do the Memphis Grizzlies need to make the playoffs?

Southwest Division
Updated
6070%
0% 100%
Leaning in Playoff Probability

The Memphis Grizzlies are currently in the 60–70% band to make the 2026-27 NBA playoffs. Get the exact live probability, rooting guide, and push alerts when the race moves in the Clinch app.

See the exact number

30,000 Monte Carlo simulations · Updates every 5–10 min

Bubble Team

30,000 simulations after every final score; odds typically update within 5–10 minutes

Get a push alert when Grizzlies playoff odds move by at least 2 percentage points.

How these odds are calculated

On desktop? Send it to your phone.

Get Grizzlies odds on your phone

Text or copy the link to yourself — installs directly to the App Store or Google Play with Grizzlies ready to follow.

Open in email app
Or scan with your phone

What do the Memphis Grizzlies need to make the playoffs?

The Memphis Grizzlies are 4-0 through 4 games this season. Most recently, they beat the Utah Jazz 110-105 on the road on Oct 26. The Houston Rockets (4-0) and Dallas Mavericks (2-2) are the closest Southwest Division comparisons. Winners of four straight with a 4-0 last 10. Next three: at the Portland Trail Blazers Oct 29, home against the Sacramento Kings Oct 31, and home against the New Orleans Pelicans Nov 2. 1-0 at home, 3-0 on the road, and +39 point differential. Clinch recalculates Grizzlies' postseason path after every final and identifies which Southwest Division and wider race results help. Their number has trended up this week.

Install the app to see the answer update after every game, including which rival results and swing games matter most.

Memphis Grizzlies race dossier

Recent results and the next tipoffs

Next on the court

These are the next scheduled matchups currently attached to the Grizzlies race.

  • Oct 29visits Portland Trail Blazers
  • Oct 31hosts Sacramento Kings
  • Nov 2hosts New Orleans Pelicans
Live race snapshotGrizzlies
Record4-0
StreakW4
Last 104-0
Point diff+39
Home · Away1-0 · 3-0
Playoff odds60–70%
Win division20–30%
Win NBA title0–10%
7-day momentum NBA · Grizzlies
Grizzlies playoff odds — last 8 daily snapshots Trend line showing daily model-projected playoff probability. Exact numbers available in the Clinch app.
Sparkline of Grizzlies daily playoff probability over the last 8 days.
Last 8 days+10 pts
7-day range50–80%

Grizzlies playoff odds are trending up over the last week. Clinch Pro shows the full-season journey chart and pushes an alert when the race shifts.

Tonight's rooting board

Root for these results to help the Grizzlies

2 games
  1. HOU at MIL
    MIL win
    If it happens small bump
    MIL win helps slightly
  2. OKC at DAL
    OKC win
    If it happens small bump
    OKC win helps slightly

3 more helper games tonight — the Clinch app has the full nightly board and pushes an alert the moment any game finishes.

The model-implied playoff line

A concrete benchmark based on projected final totals across the conference.

Projected cut line40 winsPosition 8
Grizzlies projection41 wins+1.0 vs line
Current total4 wins78 games left
To reach projected line36 wins46% win pace
What this means

Reaching roughly 40 wins would put Grizzlies around the model's current final qualifying position. The actual clinching requirement can move with rival results and tiebreakers.

Want the full picture? See games that matter tonight

This is a projected race benchmark, not an official magic number. Clinching rules, head-to-head results, and the remaining schedule can move the final line.

Keep going from here

Get free Grizzlies playoff-odds alerts + rooting guide in the app
App Store Google Play