What do the New Orleans Pelicans need to make the playoffs?

Southwest Division
Updated
2030%
0% 100%
On the bubble Playoff Probability

The New Orleans Pelicans are currently in the 20–30% band to make the 2026-27 NBA playoffs. Get the exact live probability, rooting guide, and push alerts when the race moves in the Clinch app.

See the exact number

30,000 Monte Carlo simulations · Updates every 5–10 min

Outside Looking In

30,000 simulations after every final score; odds typically update within 5–10 minutes

Get a push alert when Pelicans playoff odds move by at least 2 percentage points.

How these odds are calculated

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What do the New Orleans Pelicans need to make the playoffs?

The New Orleans Pelicans are 0-3 through 3 games this season. Most recently, they lost to the Denver Nuggets 141-135 on the road on Oct 24. The Dallas Mavericks (2-2) and San Antonio Spurs (2-2) are the closest Southwest Division comparisons. Losers of three straight with a 0-3 last 10. Next three: home against the Denver Nuggets Oct 28, home against the Sacramento Kings Oct 29, and home against the Atlanta Hawks Oct 31. 0-1 at home, 0-2 on the road, and -10 point differential. Clinch recalculates Pelicans' postseason path after every final and identifies which Southwest Division and wider race results help. Their number has trended down this week.

Install the app to see the answer update after every game, including which rival results and swing games matter most.

New Orleans Pelicans race dossier

Recent results and the next tipoffs

Next on the court

These are the next scheduled matchups currently attached to the Pelicans race.

  • Oct 28hosts Denver Nuggets
  • Oct 29hosts Sacramento Kings
  • Oct 31hosts Atlanta Hawks
Live race snapshotPelicans
Record0-3
StreakL3
Last 100-3
Point diff-10
Home · Away0-1 · 0-2
Playoff odds20–30%
Win division0–10%
Win NBA title0–10%
7-day momentum NBA · Pelicans
Pelicans playoff odds — last 8 daily snapshots Trend line showing daily model-projected playoff probability. Exact numbers available in the Clinch app.
Sparkline of Pelicans daily playoff probability over the last 8 days.
Last 8 days−5 pts
7-day range30–50%

Pelicans playoff odds are trending down over the last week. Clinch Pro shows the full-season journey chart and pushes an alert when the race shifts.

Tonight's rooting board

Root for these results to help the Pelicans

2 games
  1. HOU at MIL
    MIL win
    If it happens small bump
    Minimal impact
  2. OKC at DAL
    OKC win
    If it happens small bump
    Minimal impact

3 more helper games tonight — the Clinch app has the full nightly board and pushes an alert the moment any game finishes.

The model-implied playoff line

A concrete benchmark based on projected final totals across the conference.

Projected cut line40 winsPosition 8
Pelicans projection37 wins-3.0 vs line
Current total0 wins79 games left
To reach projected line40 wins51% win pace
What this means

Reaching roughly 40 wins would put Pelicans around the model's current final qualifying position. The actual clinching requirement can move with rival results and tiebreakers.

Want the full picture? See games that matter tonight

This is a projected race benchmark, not an official magic number. Clinching rules, head-to-head results, and the remaining schedule can move the final line.

Keep going from here

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