The Memphis Grizzlies are currently in the 10–20% band to win the Southwest Division during the 2026-27 NBA season. Get the exact live division probability and full race context in Clinch.
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The Memphis Grizzlies are 6-3 through 9 games this season. Most recently, they lost to the Oklahoma City Thunder 128-97 at home on Nov 6. The Houston Rockets (7-3) and Dallas Mavericks (5-4) are the closest Southwest Division comparisons. Losers of three straight with a 6-3 last 10. Next three: at the Toronto Raptors Nov 9, home against the Denver Nuggets Nov 11, and at the New Orleans Pelicans Nov 13. 2-3 at home, 4-0 on the road, and +55 point differential. Clinch models every remaining Southwest Division game to publish the Grizzlies live division-win probability.
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The closest current divisional comparisons for Grizzlies:
Every division competitor, ordered by its chance to finish first.
Division probability comes directly from the same 30,000-season simulation as the headline number. Projected totals are model averages, not guarantees.