The Houston Rockets are currently in the 30–40% band to win the Southwest Division during the 2026-27 NBA season. Get the exact live division probability and full race context in Clinch.
See the exact numberHouston Rockets division odds
30,000 simulations after every final score; odds typically update within 5–10 minutes
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Houston Rockets division odds
The Houston Rockets are 7-3 through 10 games this season. Most recently, they lost to the Phoenix Suns 102-99 on the road on Nov 7. The Memphis Grizzlies (6-3) and San Antonio Spurs (8-2) are the closest Southwest Division comparisons. Losers of two straight with a 7-3 last 10. Next three: home against the Denver Nuggets Nov 9, home against the Golden State Warriors Nov 11, and home against the Utah Jazz Nov 13. 4-1 at home, 3-2 on the road, and +90 point differential. Clinch models every remaining Southwest Division game to publish the Rockets live division-win probability.
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Southwest watch
The closest current divisional comparisons for Rockets:
- Memphis Grizzlies6-3 · 1.5 GB
- San Antonio Spurs8-2 · division leader
- Dallas Mavericks5-4 · 2.5 GB
Southwest Division model race
Every division competitor, ordered by its chance to finish first.
Division probability comes directly from the same 30,000-season simulation as the headline number. Projected totals are model averages, not guarantees.