The Dallas Mavericks are currently in the 0–10% band to win the Southwest Division during the 2026-27 NBA season. Get the exact live division probability and full race context in Clinch.
See the exact number30,000 simulations after every final score; odds typically update within 5–10 minutes
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The Dallas Mavericks are 5-4 through 9 games this season. Most recently, they beat the Utah Jazz 112-100 at home on Nov 6. The Memphis Grizzlies (6-3) and New Orleans Pelicans (4-5) are the closest Southwest Division comparisons. Coming off a win with a 5-4 last 10. Next three: home against the Brooklyn Nets Nov 8, home against the Indiana Pacers Nov 9, and at the Minnesota Timberwolves Nov 12. 3-2 at home, 2-2 on the road, and +11 point differential. Clinch models every remaining Southwest Division game to publish the Mavericks live division-win probability.
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The closest current divisional comparisons for Mavericks:
Every division competitor, ordered by its chance to finish first.
Division probability comes directly from the same 30,000-season simulation as the headline number. Projected totals are model averages, not guarantees.