What do the Edmonton Oilers need to make the playoffs?

Pacific Division
Updated
7080%
0% 100%
In good shape Playoff Probability

The Edmonton Oilers are currently in the 70–80% band to make the 2026-27 NHL playoffs. Get the exact live probability, rooting guide, and push alerts when the race moves in the Clinch app.

See the exact number

30,000 Monte Carlo simulations · Updates every 5–10 min

Strong Contender

30,000 simulations after every final score; odds typically update within 5–10 minutes

Get a push alert when Oilers playoff odds move by at least 2 percentage points.

How these odds are calculated

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What do the Edmonton Oilers need to make the playoffs?

The Edmonton Oilers are 8-2-2 (18 pts) through 12 games this season. They sit 2nd in the Pacific Division, 1 point back of the leader. Most recently, they lost to the Detroit Red Wings 4-3 at home on Oct 26. The Vegas Golden Knights (9-4-1) and Seattle Kraken (7-4-1) are the closest Pacific Division comparisons. They're 7-2-1 in their last 10. Next three: home against the Calgary Flames Oct 28, at the New York Islanders Oct 31, and at the New York Rangers Nov 1. Devon Levi leads the crease with 7 starts, the team owns a .879 save percentage, and their team goals-against average is 3.33. Clinch recalculates Oilers' postseason path after every final and identifies which Pacific Division and wider race results help. Their number has trended up this week.

Install the app to see the answer update after every game, including which rival results and swing games matter most.

Edmonton Oilers race dossier

Recent results and the next puck drops

Next on the ice

These are the next scheduled matchups currently attached to the Oilers race.

  • Oct 28hosts Calgary Flames
  • Oct 31visits New York Islanders
  • Nov 1visits New York Rangers
Live race snapshotOilers
Record8-2-2 (18 pts)
StreakOT1
Last 107-2-1
Pacific2nd · 1 GB
Goal diff+9
Home · Away3-2-2 · 5-0-0
Playoff odds70–80%
Win division30–40%
Win Stanley Cup0–10%
7-day momentum NHL · Oilers
Oilers playoff odds — last 8 daily snapshots Trend line showing daily model-projected playoff probability. Exact numbers available in the Clinch app.
Sparkline of Oilers daily playoff probability over the last 8 days.
Last 8 days−10 pts
7-day range80–100%

Oilers playoff odds are trending down over the last week. Clinch Pro shows the full-season journey chart and pushes an alert when the race shifts.

Tonight's rooting board

Root for these results to help the Oilers

2 games
  1. TOR at SEA
    TOR regulation win
    If it happens small bump
    SEA loss (reg) → +0.2%
  2. NJD at COL
    NJD regulation win
    If it happens small bump
    COL loss → +0.1%

The Clinch app pushes an alert the moment any of these games finishes so you don't have to check.

The model-implied playoff line

A concrete benchmark based on projected final totals across the conference.

Projected cut line91 pointsPosition 8
Oilers projection100 points+9.0 vs line
Current total18 points72 games left
To reach projected line73 points51% of available points
What this means

Reaching roughly 91 points would put Oilers around the model's current final qualifying position. The actual clinching requirement can move with rival results and tiebreakers.

Want the full picture? See games that matter tonight

This is a projected race benchmark, not an official magic number. Clinching rules, head-to-head results, and the remaining schedule can move the final line.

Keep going from here

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