What do the Calgary Flames need to make the playoffs?

Pacific Division
Updated
3040%
0% 100%
On the bubble Playoff Probability

The Calgary Flames are currently in the 30–40% band to make the 2026-27 NHL playoffs. Get the exact live probability, rooting guide, and push alerts when the race moves in the Clinch app.

See the exact number

30,000 Monte Carlo simulations · Updates every 5–10 min

Outside Looking In

30,000 simulations after every final score; odds typically update within 5–10 minutes

Get a push alert when Flames playoff odds move by at least 2 percentage points.

How these odds are calculated

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What do the Calgary Flames need to make the playoffs?

The Calgary Flames are 5-6-0 (10 pts) through 11 games this season. They sit 6th in the Pacific Division, 9 points back of the leader. Most recently, they beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 5-2 at home on Oct 26. The Anaheim Ducks (5-6-1) and Los Angeles Kings (3-6-2) are the closest Pacific Division comparisons. Winners of four straight with a 5-5-0 last 10. Next three: at the Edmonton Oilers Oct 28, home against the Seattle Kraken Oct 30, and at the Colorado Avalanche Oct 31. Devin Cooley leads the crease with 6 starts, the team owns a .880 save percentage, and their team goals-against average is 3.64. Clinch recalculates Flames' postseason path after every final and identifies which Pacific Division and wider race results help. Their number has trended down this week.

Install the app to see the answer update after every game, including which rival results and swing games matter most.

Calgary Flames race dossier

Recent results and the next puck drops

Next on the ice

These are the next scheduled matchups currently attached to the Flames race.

  • Oct 28visits Edmonton Oilers
  • Oct 30hosts Seattle Kraken
  • Oct 31visits Colorado Avalanche
Live race snapshotFlames
Record5-6-0 (10 pts)
StreakW4
Last 105-5-0
Pacific6th · 9 GB
Goal diff-13
Home · Away4-3-0 · 1-3-0
Playoff odds30–40%
Win division0–10%
Win Stanley Cup0–10%
7-day momentum NHL · Flames
Flames playoff odds — last 8 daily snapshots Trend line showing daily model-projected playoff probability. Exact numbers available in the Clinch app.
Sparkline of Flames daily playoff probability over the last 8 days.
Last 8 days+15 pts
7-day range20–60%

Flames playoff odds are trending up over the last week. Clinch Pro shows the full-season journey chart and pushes an alert when the race shifts.

Tonight's rooting board

Root for these results to help the Flames

2 games
  1. TOR at SEA
    TOR regulation win
    If it happens small bump
    SEA loss (reg) → +0.3%
  2. NJD at COL
    NJD regulation win
    If it happens small bump
    COL loss (reg) → +0.2%

The Clinch app pushes an alert the moment any of these games finishes so you don't have to check.

The model-implied playoff line

A concrete benchmark based on projected final totals across the conference.

Projected cut line91 pointsPosition 8
Flames projection87 points-4.0 vs line
Current total10 points73 games left
To reach projected line81 points55% of available points
What this means

Reaching roughly 91 points would put Flames around the model's current final qualifying position. The actual clinching requirement can move with rival results and tiebreakers.

Want the full picture? See games that matter tonight

This is a projected race benchmark, not an official magic number. Clinching rules, head-to-head results, and the remaining schedule can move the final line.

Keep going from here

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