The Miami Heat are currently in the 50–60% band to make the 2026-27 NBA playoffs. Get the exact live probability, rooting guide, and push alerts when the race moves in the Clinch app.
See the exact number30,000 simulations after every final score; odds typically update within 5–10 minutes
Get a push alert when Heat playoff odds move by at least 2 percentage points.
Text or copy the link to yourself — installs directly to the App Store or Google Play with Heat ready to follow.
The Miami Heat are 0-4 through 4 games this season. Most recently, they lost to the Dallas Mavericks 113-109 at home on Oct 26. The Orlando Magic (1-2) and Atlanta Hawks (2-2) are the closest Southeast Division comparisons. Losers of four straight with a 0-4 last 10. Next three: at the Atlanta Hawks Oct 28, home against the Indiana Pacers Oct 30, and at the Los Angeles Lakers Nov 2. 0-3 at home, 0-1 on the road, and -51 point differential. Heat sit in the band; the Clinch app carries the exact figure and alerts on race-moving results. Their number has trended down this week.
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Across the last 3 recorded games, Heat went 0-3 and were outscored 330-356.
The Miami Heat are in the part of the race where a short run of results can materially change the answer.
“Yes” and “not favored” describe the current model balance, not a clinch or elimination declaration. The percentage remains the source of truth.
Daily closing probability from Clinch model snapshots.
This chart shows model movement over time, not a betting-market price. Each point is the latest stored simulation snapshot for that date.
These are the closest teams in the same conference by current playoff odds. Tap any team for its race context; Clinch's app uses simulation-derived game impacts for tonight's actual rooting guide.