The Miami Heat are currently in the 0–10% band to win the Southeast Division during the 2026-27 NBA season. Get the exact live division probability and full race context in Clinch.
See the exact number30,000 simulations after every final score; odds typically update within 5–10 minutes
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The Miami Heat are 3-6 through 9 games this season. Most recently, they lost to the Golden State Warriors 120-100 on the road on Nov 5. The Charlotte Hornets (3-7) and Washington Wizards (4-6) are the closest Southeast Division comparisons. Coming off a loss with a 3-6 last 10. Next three: at the Sacramento Kings Nov 8, at the Utah Jazz Nov 10, and home against the Cleveland Cavaliers Nov 13. 1-3 at home, 2-3 on the road, and -59 point differential. Clinch models every remaining Southeast Division game to publish the Heat live division-win probability.
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The closest current divisional comparisons for Heat:
Every division competitor, ordered by its chance to finish first.
Division probability comes directly from the same 30,000-season simulation as the headline number. Projected totals are model averages, not guarantees.