The Miami Heat are currently in the 50–60% band to make the 2026-27 NBA playoffs. Get the exact live probability, rooting guide, and push alerts when the race moves in the Clinch app.
See the exact number30,000 simulations after every final score; odds typically update within 5–10 minutes
Get a push alert when Heat playoff odds move by at least 2 percentage points.
Text or copy the link to yourself — installs directly to the App Store or Google Play with Heat ready to follow.
The Miami Heat are 0-4 through 4 games this season. Most recently, they lost to the Dallas Mavericks 113-109 at home on Oct 26. The Orlando Magic (1-2) and Atlanta Hawks (2-2) are the closest Southeast Division comparisons. Losers of four straight with a 0-4 last 10. Next three: at the Atlanta Hawks Oct 28, home against the Indiana Pacers Oct 30, and at the Los Angeles Lakers Nov 2. 0-3 at home, 0-1 on the road, and -51 point differential. Clinch ranks tonight's slate by how much each result moves the Heat probability, live.
Install the app to get pushed the second another result moves your race, plus the weekly recap showing how the week's swing games actually played out.
These are the next scheduled matchups currently attached to the Heat race.
Which results across the league move the Heat playoff race. Tonight's slate has real swing in it — see how the model reads each result below.
HOU win helps slightly
Minimal impact
Minimal impact
Minimal impact
Minimal impact
MIL win hurts slightly
Minimal impact
Zoom out from tonight: See what they need
These are direct what-if simulations from a rooting run matched to the latest headline odds, not teams chosen merely because their standings percentages are nearby.