The Golden State Warriors are currently in the 50–60% band to make the 2026-27 NBA playoffs. Get the exact live probability, rooting guide, and push alerts when the race moves in the Clinch app.
See the exact number30,000 simulations after every final score; odds typically update within 5–10 minutes
Get a push alert when Warriors playoff odds move by at least 2 percentage points.
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The Golden State Warriors are 1-3 through 4 games this season. Most recently, they beat the Denver Nuggets 134-114 on the road on Oct 26. The Los Angeles Clippers (1-2) and Phoenix Suns (1-2) are the closest Pacific Division comparisons. Coming off a win with a 1-3 last 10. Next three: at the Minnesota Timberwolves Oct 28, home against the Los Angeles Lakers Oct 30, and home against the Los Angeles Clippers Nov 1. 0-1 at home, 1-2 on the road, and -14 point differential. Clinch ranks tonight's slate by how much each result moves the Warriors probability, live.
Install the app to get pushed the second another result moves your race, plus the weekly recap showing how the week's swing games actually played out.
These are the next scheduled matchups currently attached to the Warriors race.
Which results across the league move the Warriors playoff race. Tonight's slate has real swing in it — see how the model reads each result below.
Minimal impact
Minimal impact
Minimal impact
HOU win hurts slightly
Minimal impact
Minimal impact
Minimal impact
Zoom out from tonight: See what they need
These are direct what-if simulations from a rooting run matched to the latest headline odds, not teams chosen merely because their standings percentages are nearby.