The Golden State Warriors are currently in the 30–40% band to win the Pacific Division during the 2026-27 NBA season. Get the exact live division probability and full race context in Clinch.
See the exact numberGolden State Warriors division odds
30,000 simulations after every final score; odds typically update within 5–10 minutes
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Golden State Warriors division odds
The Golden State Warriors are 7-3 through 10 games this season. Most recently, they beat the Orlando Magic 126-119 at home on Nov 7. The Los Angeles Lakers (8-2) and Phoenix Suns (3-5) are the closest Pacific Division comparisons. Winners of seven straight with a 7-3 last 10. Next three: home against the New Orleans Pelicans Nov 9, at the Houston Rockets Nov 11, and at the San Antonio Spurs Nov 13. 5-1 at home, 2-2 on the road, and +50 point differential. Clinch models every remaining Pacific Division game to publish the Warriors live division-win probability.
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Pacific watch
The closest current divisional comparisons for Warriors:
- Los Angeles Lakers8-2 · division leader
- Phoenix Suns3-5 · 4 GB
- Los Angeles Clippers1-7 · 6 GB
Pacific Division model race
Every division competitor, ordered by its chance to finish first.
Division probability comes directly from the same 30,000-season simulation as the headline number. Projected totals are model averages, not guarantees.